Friday

Ways to own gold and what is the risk

WAYS TO OWN GOLD
There are many ways to own gold. The best way is to buy a few one-ounce gold coins, preferably American eagles if you’re in the United States, or Canadian maple leaf coins if you’re in Canada. With one-ounce coins, you pay the lowest commission.
The trouble with gold coins is also their advantage: they are in your possession. They can be lost or stolen. They must be mailed back to a coin dealer to sell them for money. There are commissions to pay. But, in a time of national crisis, coins are the best way to hold gold for the small investor.
In a true panic, you will have a problem selling—not because of low demand but the opposite: you won’t be able to get through on the phone. There are probably fewer than 400 full-time retail coin dealers in the country, and most of them are small operations. This number must serve up to a hundred million American families. If one percent of these families ever decide to buy a single one-ounce coin during a panic, the phone lines will jam up.
You can buy gold shares. Buying gold stocks is the standard approach of most investors. The problem is, you’re not buying gold. You’re buying a company that says it has gold in the ground. You are also betting on future mining costs, management skills, and the possibility than the company has already sold its output for a fixed price.
You can buy small gold units (grams) at a company like GoldMoney, which holds the gold in a bonded warehouse outside the United States. GoldMoney uses a warehouse in London. Using digital accounts is convenient. Commissions are low. Transactions are easy. You can take delivery of your gold. You must pay storage fees, which is evidence that your gold is really there. There are no free lunches and no free vaults.
There is a fund, the Central Fund of Canada, that holds mostly gold and some silver bullion. The prices of the two metals move in tandem most of the time. Owning shares of this fund is a surrogate for owning physical gold.
Recently, a new firm has been approved by the Securities & Exchange Commission to trade in units of gold as low as a tenth-ounce: streetTracks Gold Trust (GLD). This firm is part of the World Gold Council. It is receiving considerable publicity. It is likely that Americans who are looking for an easy way to participate in the rising price of gold will use this firm. If the firm becomes profitable, there will be imitators. ISHARES Silver Trust (SLV) quickly proved its potency in helping drive the price of silver to over $15.
Always remember: if there is no proof of physical possession of gold, and if there are no storage charges for gold held in reserve, then you may be trading a futures contract, which is a promise to pay gold on demand. Promises to pay are never as reliable as gold in hand. Third-party verification of gold held against receipts issued for gold becomes important.
I think an electronic approach to holding gold is the wave of the future. There will come a day when banks and other financial services companies will offer these services. But that change will require a few currency crises that will catch the attention of people with money.
You should ask yourself what you are hedging against. Answers include the 15 reasons in the report, plus these more specific ones:
* Dollar inflation/depreciation
* Terrorist attack on the U.S.
* Crisis in the bank payments system (cascading defaults)
Retirement
* Capital gains taxation rather than ordinary income taxation
* Speculation: Asians may start buying gold
You should also ask yourself this question: “What do I intend to do with my gold?” Answers include these:
* Hold it as a speculation: buy low, sell high
* Hold it as a way to pass down wealth to my heirs
* Hold it as a way to hedge against a monetary disaster
* Hold it as a way to avoid paper trails

WHAT IS THE DOWNSIDE RISK?
The standard ones are these:
* Net central bank sales of gold to public
* Recession reduces price inflation
* Recession reduces demand for commodities
* Asians turn out to love paper money more than gold
* Government outlaws gold for Americans
* Gold-owning Americans actually obey the government
The political pressure is very strong to keep a higher price of gold from identifying reduced confidence in the dollar. We have seen the government take steps to push down gold’s price. But the government also sells gold coins. It maintains the official position that gold is not relevant for monetary affairs. To outlaw gold would be to admit that gold is relevant. This might turn into a gold-buying panic. Because Americans can easily buy and sell gold on the Web, there are ways for people to evade the law.
A worldwide recession is possible if China suffers a major recession. China at some point will have to go through a recession because of today’s inflationary policies. But the question is: When? Gold may fall 30% from $700 an ounce. If you have no gold, it’s not wise to bet the farm on a fall in price. Besides, if gold falls, you’ll probably think, “It’s going to fall even more. I had better wait.”
CONCLUSION
People postpone doing what they don’t really want to do. They don’t want to take action that implies that the present system is shaky, that the government is following policies that will debase the currency, and that there is no way for the government to preserve the purchasing power of the dollar by anything other than ceasing all monetary expansion, which the Federal Reserve System never does.
I suggest that you re-think all of the reasons you have come up with for not buying gold and gold stocks. See if they still make sense in the light of the facts presented within.
This article is a combination of key points from an article by John Embry titled 15 Reasons to Own Gold and a six-point summary by Blanchard Economic Research Unit titled “Why Own Gold?”, with additional notes by Gary North. and Jason Hamlin.


via Goldstockbull

15 Reasons Why you should invest in Gold

“…gold and economic freedom are inseparable. In the absence of the gold standard,
there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation. Gold stands as
the protector of property rights. If one grasps this, one has no difficulty in
understanding the statists’ antagonism toward the gold standard.”
Alan Greenspan, “Gold and Economic Freedom”,The Objectivist, July 1966.

1. Global Currency Debasement:
The US dollar is fundamentally & technically very weak and should fall dramatically. However, other countries are very reluctant to see their currencies appreciate and are resisting the fall of the US dollar. Thus, we are in the early stages of a massive global currency debasement which will see tangibles, and most particularly gold, rise significantly in price.
Gold is bought and sold in U.S. dollars, so any decline in the value of the dollar causes the price of gold to rise. The U.S. dollar is the world’s reserve currency – the primary medium for international transactions, the principal store of value for savings, the currency in which the worth of commodities and equities are calculated, and the currency primarily held as reserves by the world’s central banks. However, now that it has been stripped of its gold backing, the dollar is nothing more than a fancy piece of paper.
2. Investment Demand for Gold is Accelerating:
When the crowd recognizes what is unfolding, they will seek an alternative to paper currencies and financial assets and this will create an enormous investment demand for gold. To facilitate this demand, a number of new vehicles like Central Gold Trust and gold Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have been created.
Gold is also an effective way to diversify your portfolio and protect the wealth created in the stock and financial markets is to invest in assets that are negatively correlated with those markets. Gold is the ideal diversifier for a stock portfolio, simply because it is among the most negatively correlated assets to stocks.
Although the price of gold can be volatile in the short-term, gold has maintained its value over the long-term, serving as a hedge against the erosion of the purchasing power of paper money. Gold is an important part of a diversified investment portfolio because its price increases in response to events that erode the value of traditional paper investments like stocks and bonds.
3. Alarming Financial Deterioration in the US:
In the space of two years, the federal government budget surplus has been transformed into a yawning deficit, which will persist as far as the eye can see. At the same time, the current account deficit has reached levels which have portended currency collapse in virtually every other instance in history.
4. Negative Real Interest Rates in Reserve Currency (US dollar):
To combat the deteriorating financial conditions in the US, interest rates have been dropped to rock bottom levels, real interest rates are now negative and, according to statements from the Fed spokesmen, are expected to remain so for some time. There has been a very strong historical relationship between negative real interest rates and stronger gold prices.
5. Dramatic Increases in Money Supply (Inflation) in the US and Other Nations:
US authorities are terrified about the prospects for deflation given the unprecedented debt burden at all levels of society in the US. Fed Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is on record as saying the Fed has a printing press and will use it to combat deflation if necessary. Other nations are following in the US’s footsteps and global money supply is accelerating. This is very gold friendly.
Gold is renowned as a hedge against inflation. The most consistent factor determining the price of gold has been inflation – as inflation goes up, the price of gold goes up along with it. Since the end of World War II, the five years in which U.S. inflation was at its highest were 1946, 1974, 1975, 1979, and 1980. During those five years, the average real return on stocks, as measured by the Dow, was -12.33%; the average real return on gold was 130.4%.
Today, a number of factors are conspiring to create the perfect inflationary storm: extremely stimulative monetary policy, a major tax cut, a long term decline in the dollar, a spike in oil prices, a mammoth trade deficit, and America’s status as the world’s biggest debtor nation. Almost across the board, commodity prices are up despite the short-term absence of a weakening dollar which is often viewed as the principal reason for stronger commodity prices.
6. Existence of a Huge and Growing Gap between Mine Supply and Traditional Demand:
Gold mine supply is roughly 2500 tonnes per annum and traditional demand (jewelry, industrial users, etc.) has exceeded this by a considerable margin for a number of years. Some of this gap has been filled by recycled scrap but central bank gold has been the primary source of above-ground supply.
Growing Demand – China, India and Gold
India is the largest gold-consuming nation in the world. China, on the other hand, has the fastest-growing economy in modern history. Both India and China are in the process of liberalizing laws relating to the import and sale of gold in ways that will facilitate gold purchases on a mammoth scale.
7. Mine Supply is Anticipated to Decline in the next Three to Four Years:
Even if traditional demand continues to erode due to ongoing worldwide economic weakness, the supply-demand imbalance is expected to persist due to a decline in mine supply. Mine supply will contract in the next several years, irrespective of gold prices, due to a dearth of exploration in the post Bre-X era, a shift away from high grading which was necessary for survival in the sub-economic gold price environment of the past five years and the natural exhaustion of existing mines.
8. Large Short Positions:
To fill the gap between mine supply and demand, central bank gold has been mobilized primarily through the leasing mechanism, which facilitated producer hedging and financial speculation. Strong evidence suggests that between 10,000 and 16,000 tonnes (30–50% of all central bank gold) is currently in the market. This is owed to the central banks by the bullion banks, which are the counter party in the transactions.
9. Low Interest Rates Discourage Hedging:
Rates are low and falling. With low rates, there isn’t sufficient contango to create higher prices in the out years. Thus there is little incentive to hedge, and gold producers are not only not hedging, they are reducing their existing hedge positions, thus removing gold from the market.
10. Rising Gold Prices and Low Interest Rates Discourage Financial Speculation on the Short Side:
When gold prices were continuously falling and financial speculators could access central bank gold at a minimal leasing rate (0.5–1% per annum), sell it and reinvest the proceeds in a high yielding bond or Treasury bill, the trade was viewed as a lay up. Everyone did it and now there are numerous stale short positions. However, these trades now make no sense with a rising gold price and declining interest rates.
11. The Central Banks are Nearing an Inflection Point when they will be Reluctant to Provide more Gold to the Market:
The central banks have supplied too much already via the leasing mechanism. In addition, Far Eastern central banks who are accumulating enormous quantities of US dollars are rumored to be buyers of gold to diversify away from the US dollar.
12. Gold is Increasing in Popularity:
Gold is seen in a much more positive light in countries beginning to come to the forefront on the world scene. Prominent developing countries such as China, India and Russia have been accumulating gold. In fact, China with its 1.3 billion people recently established a National Gold Exchange and relaxed control over the asset. Demand in China is expected to rise sharply and could reach 500 tonnes in the next few years.
13. Gold as Money is Gaining Credence:
Islamic nations are investigating a currency backed by gold (the Gold Dinar), the new President of Argentina proposed, during his campaign, a gold backed peso as an antidote for the financial catastrophe which his country has experienced and Russia is talking about a fully convertible currency with gold backing.
One major reason investors look to gold as an asset class is because it will always maintain an intrinsic value. Gold will not get lost in an accounting scandal or a market collapse.
14. Rising Geopolitical Tensions:
The deteriorating conditions in the Middle East, the US occupation of Iraq, the nuclear ambitions of North Korea and the growing conflict between the US and China due to China’s refusal to allow its currency to appreciate against the US dollar headline the geopolitical issues, which could explode at anytime. A fearful public has a tendency to gravitate towards gold.
Despite the fact that the United States is the world’s only remaining superpower, there are a myriad of problems festering around the world, any one of which could erupt with little warning. Gold has often been called the “crisis commodity” because it tends to outperform other investments during periods of world tensions. The very same factors that cause other investments to suffer cause the price of gold to rise. A bad economy can sink poorly run banks. Bad banks can sink an entire economy. And, perhaps most importantly to the rest of the world, the integration of the global economy has made it possible for banking and economic failures to destabilize the world economy.
As banking crises occur, the public begins to distrust paper assets and turns to gold for a safe haven.
When all else fails, governments rescue themselves with the printing press, making their currency worth less and gold worth more. Gold has always risen the most when confidence in government is at its lowest.
15. Limited Size of the Total Gold Market Provides Tremendous Leverage:
All the physical gold in existence is worth somewhat more than $1 trillion US dollars while the value of all the publicly traded gold companies in the world is less than $100 billion US dollars. When the fundamentals ultimately encourage a strong flow of capital towards gold and gold equities, the trillions upon trillions worth of paper money could propel both to unfathomably high levels.
Aristotle defined five reasons why gold is money in the fourth century BC (which may only have been the first time it was put down on paper). Those five reasons are as valid today as they were then. A good form of money must be: durable, divisible, consistent, convenient, and have value in and of itself. Doug Casey gave an excellent interview with the International Spectator on why gold is the best store of value.

via Goldstockbull

Thursday

We found 35 Warren Buffet related articles for you to read

5 Stocks Warren Buffett loves - The Motley Fool, 07 September 2013
How do you pick a great stock? As a financial writer, and one that focuses on stocks in particular, that's a question that I think about a lot. And each time I do so, I invariably come back to Warren Buffett, the chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway and arguably the greatest investor of all time.

Buffett’s Firm adds Real Estate Brokers in 7 U.S. States - Bloomberg, 06 September 2013
Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices, a venture formed by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc., added nine real estate broker affiliates in seven states to its network as it seeks to benefit from the U.S. housing rebound.

Should you follow Buffett into this Energy play? - The Motley Fool, 06 September 2013
It goes without saying that Buffett is one of the most imitated investors out there. What should never be forgotten though, is that Buffett is a long term buyer. He's not in it for a quick flip.

Here’s Buffett’s billion-dollar advice to the Washington Post - Wall St. Cheat Sheet, 04 September 2013
In 1973, business magnate Warren Buffett — Chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, one of the most successful conglomerate holding companies on the planet — invested $10.6 million in the Washington Post Company.

10 Big Brands that may be heeding Warren Buffett’s Advice - Wall St. Cheat Sheet, 03 September 2013
Warren Buffett once said, “It takes twenty years to build a reputation and five minutes to lose it. If you think about that, you will do things differently.” The Oracle of Omaha was talking about people, but the same applies to businesses.

4 stocks Warren Buffett, insiders are betting on - MarketWatch, 26 August 2013
Quarterly filings from Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway are highly anticipated in the financial community — many investors and market watchers are at least somewhat curious what Buffett has been doing, and may find some of his picks to be interesting initial ideas.

The secret life of Warren Buffett's greatest investment - The Motley Fool, 25 August 2013
Warren Buffett and Cherry Coke. The two go together like peas and carrots, burgers and fries, pizza and beer, and Tango and Cash. Well, OK, maybe not that last one. Point is, Berkshire Hathaway shareholders have made a mint from the Oracle's decades-long investment in shares of Coca-Cola.

Should Warren Buffett buy Nasdaq? - The Street, 23 August 2013
Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A_) was a reported bidder for NYSE Euronext (NYX_) ahead of the company's eventual merger with IntercontinentalExchange. Maybe the "Oracle of Omaha" should now turn his eye toward Nasdaq (NDAQ_), after the exchange was again crippled during a three-hour trading freeze on Thursday.

Warren Buffett buys Suncor, and it isn't hard to see why - Seeking Alpha, 22 August 2013
Like many investors, every quarter I look forward to reading the regulatory filings of my favorite hedge fund managers and investing legends to see what new positions they have taken.

The Stocks that Warren Buffett has dumped - 27/7 Wall St., 19 August 2013
In last week's SEC filings, investors were given a chance to see which stocks have been bought and sold by Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK-A).

What is Warren Buffett Buying and Selling? - Wall St. Cheat Sheet, 15 August 2013
A new filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission shows that Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRKA) made several notable moves in the second quarter.

A Surprising reason why Warren Buffett must be happy - The Motley Fool, 15 August 2013
Warren Buffett made a big and unexpected move in 2011, when he decided to take a big position in IBM (NYSE: IBM) and make the IT company one of Berkshire Hathaway´s (NYSE: BRK-A) (NYSE: BRK-B) “big four” holdings alongside names like Coca-Cola, Wells Fargo and American Express.

Buffett adding Wells Fargo sets Bank apart at Berkshire - Bloomberg, 15 August 2013
Billionaire Warren Buffett’s accumulation of Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC) stock is making the lender stand out among Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK/A)’s largest holdings.
 Warren Buffett - The Investor
Warren Buffett on Ben Graham's biggest mistake - Seeking Alpha, 13 September 2013
Prior the existence of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) (BRK.B) or its predecessor, the Buffett Partnership, there was the Graham Newman Partnership. Ben Graham was one of the financial wunderkinds of his age. His partnership posted annualized returns of about 20% from 1936 to 1956, far outpacing the 12.2% average return for the broader market over that time.

Buffett’s investing advice is a portfolio killer - MarketWatch, 12 September 2013
One of the most dangerous investing ideas out there has been propagated by Warren Buffett acolytes who peddle the “buy what you know” mantra.

Warren Buffett’s formula for investing success - The Motley Fool, 10 September 2013
Without a doubt, Warren Buffett is one of the best investors the world has ever seen. His yearly letters to shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A, BRK.B) are full of valuable investing wisdom.

1 Crucial Investing lesson Warren Buffett learned ... at 11 years old - The Motley Fool, 07 September 2013
In June 1942, an 11-year-old Warren Buffett bought his very first stock. The target of the future Berkshire Hathaway CEO's inaugural buy? Three shares of Cities Service Preferred at $38 apiece, good for a total investment of $114.

What Buffett believes but cannot prove - Seeking Alpha, 04 September 2013
In a recent paper titled “Buffett’s Alpha,” [pdf] the authors were able to separate Warren Buffett’s outstanding performance into three distinct buckets. First, Buffett, no surprise, is a good stock picker.

How Warren Buffett could give a nod to his Successors - The Motley Fool, 01 September 2013
Warren Buffett just turned 83 years old, an old age by Wall Street standards. While it's likely that Buffett will remain at the top of Berkshire Hathaway for at least a few more years, now more than ever, focus is turning to his successor.

4 Warren Buffett myths debunked - The Motley Fool, 31 August 2013
As arguably the greatest investor of all time and one of the richest people on the planet, Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett possesses an uncanny ability to gracefully endure having nearly every aspect of his life monitored, studied, praised, and ridiculed.

Investing Wisdom from Warren Buffett's amazing 19-page memo - The Motley Fool, 25 August 2013
In the summary of a 19-page memo Warren Buffett sent to the Washington Post's (NYSE: WPO) Katharine Graham in 1975, he wrote: A mildly non-conventional investment approach, emphasizing a business approach to security selection, gives some opportunity for long-term results slightly above average without corresponding increase in investment risk.

3 Buffett predictions for the rest of 2013 - The Motley Fool, 24 August 2013
As the fourth richest person in the world today -- even after giving away roughly $24 billion of his shares in Berkshire Hathaway so far -- it's no surprise that Warren Buffett has his every move followed so closely by investors around the world.

15 Surprising facts to put Buffett's giving into perspective - The Motley Fool, 17 August 2013
Seven years ago, Warren Buffett began steadily giving away the bulk of his fortune. Here are 15 facts to help us grasp what that means.

10 Reasons Buffett is Buffett (and I'm not) - The Motley Fool, 17 August 2013
Why is Warren Buffett a billionaire while you and I are not? Is it luck? Skill? A combination of the two? I've thought about this question a lot, not entirely out of envy, but rather out of curiosity. What follows, in turn, are the 10 most salient features of Buffett's life that I believe have contributed to his unprecedented success as the greatest investor of all time.
 General News
Gates stays atop Forbes list of America's richest - Associated Press, 16 September 2013
America's superrich just keep getting richer. Forbes on Monday released its annual list of the top 400 richest Americans. While most of the top names and rankings didn't change from a year ago, the majority of members of the elite club saw their fortunes grow over the past year, helped by strong stock and real estate markets.

Why Warren Buffett hates Gold - Street Authority, 11 September 2013
Warren Buffett, the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-A), is currently worth about $44 billion, according to Forbes' list of the world's richest people. This makes him the world's third-richest person, behind Bill Gates and Carlos Slim.

Why Berkshire Hathaway will never join the Dow - The Motley Fool, 11 September 2013
When most people think about the Dow Jones Industrial Average, they rightly assume it reflects the biggest corporations in the United States.

Berkshire ‘A’ Shares, soon available in Pennies - The Wall Street Journal, 05 September 2013
Berkshire Hathaway’s stock picker-in-chief Warren Buffett is one of the world’s great bargain hunters. Investors soon may be able to get an ever-so-slightly better deal on Berkshire’s famously pricey ”A” shares.

Buffett called the end of the Baby Bust - The Wall Street Journal, 05 September 2013
Warren Buffett isn’t called the Oracle for nothing. Two years ago, he said in his annual letter to shareholders that he was bullish on housing because U.S. household formation was growing, which meant “eventually hormones would take over” and newly-formed families would feed demand for homes.

Why Berkshire's discount to Intrinsic value will close soon - Seeking Alpha, 26 August 2013
Warren Buffett has managed to ensure that Berkshire (BRK.B) (BRK.A) will be around for another generation. This was not really clear a few years ago. Yet he hired two investment managers that are making a difference. He hired Todd Combs in 2010 and Ted Weschler in 2011.

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Holdings - reduced BRK.B, sold out five companies – Forbes, 23 August 2013
The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Trust’s portfolio currently lists 21 stocks, with a total portfolio value of $17.8 billion, and a quarter-over-quarter turnover of 0%.

Buffett proves Berkshire is more than an Index - Seeking Alpha, 16 August 2013
For years, skeptics have labeled the company essentially an index, but Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) reported fantastic second-quarter results. Revenue jumped 16% year-over-year to $44.7 billion, easily exceeding consensus expectations.

Warren Buffett Candy Tour Charity Auction raises $156,000 - The Motley Fool, 14 August 2013
Jack Staub, a California engineer and business owner, placed the winning $156,000 bid on a charity auction to attend an all-you-can eat tour of Berkshire Hathaway's See's Candy factory that includes meeting Warren Buffett.


Tuesday

10 ways to invest R500 a month

Half a grand doesn’t buy you much these days, not even a trolley of groceries; perhaps a dinner for two at a moderately upmarket restaurant, if you choose a cheapish bottle of wine.
Conversely, it’s probably not very difficult to find R500 a month to put aside for a rainy day. Let’s say you’ve given your budget the once-over and found a spare R500 that you can afford to put away month after month for at least five years. As with any investment, you want the best returns at as low a risk as possible, and preferably a savings or investment vehicle that is flexible enough to allow you to deposit extra or, in an emergency, withdraw your money at short notice.
You may be immediately attracted to the obvious safe banking options (or “solutions” as they are happily called in bank-speak), such as a debit order from your current account into a separate savings or notice account. But these generally offer very low rates of return. Looking further afield, you should find ways to earn a better return without necessarily taking on more risk.
At the very least, you want to beat inflation, which eats into your savings relentlessly and mercilessly, and which can result in an alarming drop in the value of your money over time - just how alarming is illustrated in the following example:
Assume you want to save up for a specific consumer item that today would cost you R30 000. If there was no inflation, your R500 a month over five years would exactly pay for it – you could stash the money under your mattress.
But assuming a constant annual inflation rate of 4.2 percent (the figure for year-on-year CPI inflation at the end of April 2011), the item will cost you R36 852 five years from now. You would have to save for more than an extra year to make up the shortfall (by which time the price would have risen again, to over R38 400!).
Putting your cash under the mattress, you might think you could keep up with inflation by increasing your contributions by the inflation rate (4.2 percent in this example) each year. Your contributions would look like this (the figures have been rounded off to whole rands):
Year 1: R6 000 (R500 a month)
Year 2: R6 252 (R521 a month)
Year 3: R6 515 (R543 a month)
Year 4: R6 788 (R566 a month)
Year 5: R7 073 (R589 a month)
Total: R32 628
It may come as a surprise that you are still not close to the R36 852 you’ll need. This is because not only are your yearly increases lagging behind inflation, but you are accumulating your target amount over a long period (five years), whereas inflation is taking its toll on the entire cost of the item from the very beginning. In fact, you would have to increase your monthly amount by around double the inflation rate each year to have enough to buy the item after five years – or save a constant R614 a month.
So, for saving to be worthwhile, you need not only to earn an above-inflation return but you also have to increase your contributions each year so that the value of those contributions doesn’t diminish. However, for ease of comparison, we’ll keep the contributions at a flat R500 a month.
It’s time to move out of the bedroom and see what is available to you – and compare returns, risks, costs and accessibility. The break-even figure to beat inflation is R33 365 – that’s what you would save at a 4.2-percent interest rate, equal to the inflation rate. All bank rates and costs are quoted as at May 31, 2011, and it is assumed that the interest rate and inflation rate remain constant over the five years. Bear in mind, though, that we’re at the bottom of an interest rate cycle and inflation is rising, and interest rates are likely to rise too.
Only products that fit the investment criteria of R500 a month for five years have been reviewed – there are various other products for investors with larger amounts, for longer-term savings, and for lump-sum investments.
Also, you have to consider tax. For the 2011/12 tax year, you pay income tax on interest of over R22 800 a year if you are under the age of 65 – this means that you will have to invest more than R456 000 at five percent, or R228 000 at 10 percent, to begin paying tax on your returns. Also, dividends on local equity investments are currently tax-free but will be subject to tax from the 2012/13 tax year.
You are also liable for capital gains tax (CGT) on any capital gains that you make when you sell or surrender your investment. For the year, your first R17 500 is tax-free and you pay tax at your marginal rate on 25 percent of the rest of your gains. Note that these are discretionary, medium-term savings – the options presented should be considered only after you have fulfilled your long-term financial obligations, such as being on track to save enough for your retirement and saving for your children’s education.
Except where otherwise indicated, the information is from the websites of the relevant finance houses.
1. SHORT-TERM DEBT
Before you start looking at investing money, you need to look at your debt, because, as any financial adviser will tell you, that’s the first place you can score: what you pay in interest rates on debt is normally a lot higher than what you receive in interest rates on savings. First eradicate any debt on your credit card account and your retail accounts, because they usually charge the highest interest – often around 20 percent a year.
While the interest rates on credit card debt are generally high, if you use your credit card account as a savings vehicle, the rates on a positive balance are zero or very low. On ordinary credit cards, Nedbank offers zero percent annually, Absa 0.2 percent and First National Bank (FNB) 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent. Standard Bank has tiered rates, from 0.4 percent to a more respectable (but not inflation-beating) 3.3 percent on an amount over R20 000.
2. LONG-TERM DEBT
Another way to put your half-grand to good use is to channel it into your mortgage bond.
By putting the money into your home loan account, you are, in effect, saving at the rate of interest of the loan, without paying tax on the interest saved, which is almost certainly more than you’d be guaranteed anywhere else. (You might make more in a high-risk investment such as an equity unit trust, but it would be a bit of a gamble over five years.)
Absa Bank has kindly done the calculations for the following example: If you have 15 years remaining to pay back a home loan of R500 000, your monthly repayments at nine percent (the prime rate at the end of May) would be R5 071, and after five years the balance on the loan would be R402 393. If you upped your repayments by R500 to R5 571, your balance after five years would be R359 759, a difference of R42 634 – far better than your savings with any of the interest-bearing investments mentioned below. If you have an access bond, Absa says, you would have access to what you have paid in advance, subject to the contract terms.
If you continued putting R500 a month into your bond, you would pay it off after 11 and a half years and save nearly R80 000 in finance charges.
3. SAVINGS ACCOUNTS
Most of us have a bank account for everyday transactions, so opening a separate savings account into which to transfer R500 a month is certainly an attractive option as far as convenience goes – except that most banks’ savings options fall far short of what is needed in the way of returns.
* Standard Bank’s PureSave, Nedbank’s JustSave, FNB’s Simply Save and Absa’s Money Builder are simple, flexible savings accounts. You can deposit or withdraw money at any time, and they generally attract no charges if you are only depositing money and not using the account for day-to-day transactions. All have tiered interest rates according to how much is in the account, so you progress to higher rates as your savings increase: they are 0.25 to 2.3 percent (FNB), two to 2.75 percent (Standard), 1.35 to 3.90 percent (Nedbank) and 1.3 to 3.90 percent (Absa). None would give you an above-inflation return on an investment of R500 a month, so in effect you would be losing money.
* One bank, Capitec, offers a daily savings account with substantially higher rates, which will give you a positive after-inflation return: six percent on amounts under R10 000 and 4.75 percent on R10 000 or more (the more money in your account, the lower the rate, unlike other banks). For all Capitec banking, you first need to open a Global One transaction facility, on which there is a R4.50 monthly administration fee. If you save R500 a month, for the first 19 months, while your balance was under R10 000, you would earn six percent, and you’d earn 4.75 percent thereafter, giving you a total of R33 590 (net of the monthly fee).
* Standard Bank has an innovative savings product called ContractSave. You must deposit a minimum of R100 a month for a year, but thereafter it is as flexible as the bank’s PureSave option. There are no fees if your debit order is from a Standard Bank account. Interest is 3.5 percent on less than R10 000 and four percent on more than R10 000, and you get a bonus of between 0.5 and two percent a year, depending on how long you have been saving. Standard Bank’s online calculator shows you would have R34 695 after five years.
* Postbank, the Post Office’s banking facility, has an inflation-beating account, Bonus Save, whereby you choose the amount you want to save monthly and the term – up to 60 months. Once these parameters are fixed, a penalty applies if you break the contract. You earn bonus interest at the end of the term if you have fulfilled the conditions. Over 60 months, the account offers annual interest of 4.5 percent plus a 0.5-percent bonus, which equals five percent a year. Your final amount would be R34 144. There are no charges on your account.
4. NOTICE DEPOSITS
Notice deposits are relatively flexible in terms of depositing money (some banks specify a minimum balance of, say, R1 000 and minimum deposits of, say, R250), but you must give a defined period of notice to withdraw what you have saved. This limits your accessibility, which is bearable only if the interest rates are worthwhile.
* Standard Bank’s 32-day notice deposit offers tiered interest of zero to 3.5 percent a year, depending on the amount invested. Nedbank has a minimum investment amount of R1 000, and interest tiered up to 3.25 percent a year. At Absa, the minimum deposit is R100 and rates are tiered from 2.5 to 4.2 percent. And at FNB, the rates are tiered up to 2.55 percent a year. As with the savings accounts, you would not get an inflation-beating return.
* Bidvest Bank offers a welcome 6.3 percent annually on its 121-day notice account, but the minimum balance is R5 000. Here it would be worthwhile to use another account to save until you reached R5 000 (after 10 months), and then transfer your savings to the 121-day account. Assuming a rate of three percent on your pre-R5 000 savings, your total savings after contributing R500 a month for five years would be R35 072. The drawback is that you have to give four months’ notice to access your money.
* Absa’s TargetSave is similar to a normal 32-day notice account but requires a minimum monthly deposit of R100 for six months. Interest is tiered from 3.2 to 3.65 percent and there is bonus interest of between 0.25 percent and 0.75 percent after six months. Absa has calculated that you would have R33 451 at the end of five years.
5. FLEXIBLE FIXED DEPOSITS
Fixed deposits are designed for lump-sum savings, but a couple of banks offer more flexible arrangements that allow you to make multiple deposits over a fixed period.
* FNB’s Flexi Fixed Deposit requires a minimum deposit of R100. You can deposit more at any time, but withdrawals are limited to two of not more than 15 percent of your savings. There is a fixed term of three or 12 months, which you can then renew. Interest is tiered at 2.25 to 4.25 percent. Unlike a regular fixed deposit, where the interest rate would remain fixed for the investment term, the rates fluctuate in line with general interest rates.
* Capitec offers a fixed-term savings plan with multiple deposits for clients on their Global One facility. You can deposit money when you like but cannot withdraw anything before the term is up. Interest rates are fixed for the term (six, seven to 12, 13 to 18, or 19 to 24 months) and range from 6.1 to 6.6 percent for amounts in our investment range. Taking an average rate of 6.4 percent, and deducting the monthly R4.50 administration fee, the final savings figure would be R34 947. Bear in mind that, because the interest rate is fixed for the investment term, you would lose out if the rate had to rise.
6. SUBSCRIPTION SHARES
One small bank, GBS Mutual Bank based in Grahamstown, offers a unique – and highly competitive – savings scheme of a type that used to be popular in South Africa in the days of building societies. The bank has branches in Port Elizabeth, Cape Town and Port Alfred, and agencies in other areas.
With a monthly subscription that starts at R50, you can select a maturity date of between 36 and 240 months. Interest is compounded monthly and dividends are capitalised annually. Redemption notice of three months can be given at any stage after the first 15 months. At maturity, the term can be extended for between 12 and 36 months. This product offers interest of 6.25 percent, which would provide a total of R35 293 after five years. The rate is subject to fluctuations in the interest rate.
7. RETAIL BONDS
Currently, there are two retail bonds on the market for individual investors:
* RSA Retail Bonds, the government bonds available to the public, offer attractive returns on lump-sum investments at almost zero risk. The bonds require a minimum deposit of R1 000, can be for a term of two, three or five years, and there are no costs involved. On May 31, 2011, the fixed-rate two-year bond offered 7.25 percent a year and the fixed-rate three-year bond 7.50 percent a year. (There are also inflation-linked bonds, which, at the current inflation rate, offer lower returns.)
The bonds are not designed for month-to-month savings. However, with a little ingenuity you could structure your savings to take advantage of their attractive rates, especially if you also used a higher-interest savings account, such as Capitec’s savings account. After saving for a year in the Capitec account, you could put the accumulated amount into RSA Retail Bonds for two terms of two years each. After saving for another year at Capitec, you could put that year’s savings into a three-year RSA bond, and after saving for a third year at Capitec, you could put that year’s savings into a two-year bond. For years four and five, you would have to keep your money in the savings account – unless, of course, you wanted to carry on beyond five years (see table, link at the end of this article).
* Nedbank has recently advertised retail bonds with similar conditions to the RSA bonds (also R1 000 minimum, zero costs), and on May 31 they were offering higher rates: 7.37 percent for two years and 8.66 percent for three years for people under 60, and 7.49 percent for two years and 8.81 percent for three years for people over 60. Using the above calculation method and the under-60 rates, your total after saving R500 a month for five years would be R35 584.
8. UNIT TRUSTS
Unit trust funds are an extremely flexible type of investment, allowing you to withdraw money or put in extra when you want to. Your choice is extremely wide – currently there are nearly 800 funds in South Africa available to individual investors, excluding offshore funds marketed here. These cover all asset classes, asset sub-classes (for example, resources shares or financial shares) and various mixtures of asset classes. However, not all funds are available to someone who wants to invest R500 a month; for many, the monthly minimum is higher.
There are various types of funds, according to the assets the fund invests in. We consider here just three common broad types of unit trust: low-risk domestic money market funds, medium-risk domestic prudential funds, and high-risk domestic equity funds.
Only the money market funds offer yields in line with prevailing interest rates, but they are usually better than most bank deposit rates, although yields can fluctuate daily. The others are subject to the fluctuations of the markets and returns can vary widely. You can consider past performance when assessing a fund, but this is no indicator of future performance. To get a good idea of consistency of performance versus the amount of risk taken by fund managers, it's advisable to look at a fund’s PlexCrown rating (refer to link at the end of this article).
In the unit trust universe, actively managed funds, in which fund managers move in and out of assets to take advantage of market conditions, generally have higher asset management fees and often also charge performance fees.
All funds publish a total expense ratio (TER), which represents the annual management costs, administration costs and various other fees, including bank charges and taxes as a percentage of your investment. The TER can range from less than one percent to more than three percent. It does not include the initial investment fee that unit trust companies often charge, nor does it cover the commission or fee that goes to your financial adviser, if you are using one.
* Money market funds. Those that accept a minimum of R500 a month or less are Allan Gray, Community Growth, Coronation, Metropolitan and RMB. At the end of May 2011, annualised yields ranged from 5.16 to 5.67 percent (net of costs), according to ProfileData. TERs are low, ranging from 0.3 to 0.63 percent.
* Asset allocation prudential funds. These funds distribute their assets across equities, property, bonds and cash, and cannot hold more than 75 percent of their assets in equities. Their performance is not generally as spectacular as equity funds but, because of the diversification of investments, neither are they as volatile. Although their risks vary widely, they are generally lower risk than pure equity funds. Over the past five years, to the end of the first quarter 2011, the top 10 prudential funds achieved an average of 10.72 percent in annualised returns (according to ProfileData), net of costs. TERs are higher than money market funds – those of the top 10 funds range from about 1.2 to 1.88 percent.
* Equity funds. Domestic equity funds invest at least 75 percent of their portfolios in shares on the JSE, and many invest up to 95 percent. In the past they have provided the most attractive returns for long-term investors, but, because of the volatility of share markets, there is a relatively high chance of capital loss over the short term. If you are saving R500 a month, two factors count in your favour:
* You are investing monthly, rather than investing a lump sum, and this tends to smooth out your returns (when the unit price drops, your monthly R500 buys you more units); and
* Your savings are discretionary, so that, in the case of the markets taking a dip just before your five years are up, you could probably afford to keep them in a while longer to “ride out the storm”.
Over the past five years, to the end of the first quarter 2011, the 10 top-performing equity funds (including specialised equity funds, such as resources funds) achieved average annualised returns of 16.56 percent (according to ProfileData). TERs of the top 10 funds range from 1.15 to 2.65 percent.
9. EXCHANGE TRADED FUNDS
Exchange traded funds (ETFs), a relatively new type of investment, are similar to unit trusts in that they invest in the financial markets and are as easy to access. If you go through the online platform etfsa.co.za, which covers all exchange traded products in South Africa, the minimum monthly investment is R300.
Most ETFs passively track an index, such as the FTSE/JSE Top 40, by holding the shares in the index in the same proportions. As such, they perform in line with how the index performs (although there is the drag of costs), which is often better than many actively managed funds. Currently, you don't have the wide choice that unit trusts offer, especially regarding the underlying asset classes.
ETFs are mostly equities-based, and these have a similar risk profile to equity unit trusts. However, some newer ETFs invest across asset classes – one range, Absa’s NewFunds Multi-Asset Passive Portfolio Solutions (or MAPPS), even complies with regulation 28 of the Pension Funds Act, which governs the asset allocation of retirement-related investments.
Only relatively few ETFs have been around for longer than five years. One of the most established, the Satrix 40, which tracks the FTSE/JSE Top 40 index, has had annualised growth of 12.17 percent over five years to the end of the first quarter of 2011. However, the more specialised Satrix Fini, which tracks the FTSE/JSE Financial index, has returned only 5.44 percent annually, on average, over the same period, in line with the relatively poor performance of financial shares, especially through the global credit crisis.
The best-performing ETF over three years has been the Satrix Divi Plus, which tracks an index of shares that provide good dividends – annualised growth to the end of the first quarter of 2011 was 17.3 percent.
ETFs have become popular because they are less costly than active funds: TERs are mostly under one percent, although, according to etfsa.co.za, some specialised ETFs have TERs of up to 1.68 percent. However, because ETFs are traded like shares on the stock exchange, they incur some additional costs, such as brokers’ fees, which are usually not included in the TER.
10. ENDOWMENT POLICIES
Life assurers offer discretionary investments in the form of endowment policies. These force you to save, because you are bound to a contract for a fixed period. Generally, there are heavy penalties if you break the contract by, for example, stopping payments or withdrawing your money early. The penalty is up to 15 percent for those policies entered into after January 1, 2009, although the penalties typically decrease the longer you save, especially after the first year. Depending on the policy, you may be allowed a no-payment window period, have access to part of your investment (but only once in the first five years), or borrow against your investment if you need the money urgently.
You generally have a choice of investing either in market-linked portfolios, which are subject to the vagaries of the markets and offer no guarantees, or lower-risk, partially or fully guaranteed portfolios and smooth-bonus portfolios.
With a guarantee, your capital at least is guaranteed on maturity, and with a smoothed-bonus investment your annual returns are smoothed (lowered in good years so that they can be raised in bad years), counteracting market volatility.
Endowment policies have tax implications of which you need to be aware. You do not pay tax on your earnings; life assurance companies pay income tax on your behalf on interest and foreign dividends at 30 percent and capital gains annually at an effective rate of 7.5 percent. This is only an advantage if your marginal tax bracket is higher than 30 percent and you expect to exceed your annual tax exemption threshold for investment income. The CGT may also be to your disadvantage because you could lose out on CGT exemptions, and you may pay more than necessary because it is calculated annually.
Endowment policies can also incorporate a risk aspect such as a “premium waiver” option, where, if you suffer a disability and lose your means of income, your premiums are covered for the contract period.
Note that these features usually cost extra, and it is worthwhile to weigh up their benefits against the drain on your returns.
Cost structures are often complex. Costs can include an adviser’s commission, annual platform administration fees (in some cases a fee per premium), and annual asset management and performance fees. With some products, you can invest directly, cutting out the adviser costs.
Because of the complexity, assurers often express total costs as the “reduction in yield” (RIY), which is the number of percentage points costs reduce the annual return on the underlying investment.
The following products, from three big life assurers and three investment houses that have a licence to sell endowment policies, offer a minimum monthly investment of R500 (or less) for a five-year term:
* Liberty Life. Investment Builder gives you access to a wide range of funds that cover all risk profiles. These include Liberty’s internal Excelsior range, selected external managers such as Stanlib, and its property portfolio. The website provides performance data for the funds. Nico-Louis Minnie, the head of investment customer value at Liberty, says there is a flat three-percent annual management fee, no matter what fund you’re in, and you can change funds at no cost. After five years, Liberty will refund you 25 percent of its management fees. If you go through a financial adviser, the adviser can charge you up to 1.5 percent a year for the first five years. An optional performance guarantee on Excelsior funds guarantees your capital for an extra annual cost of 0.4 to 1.5 percent, depending on the risk profile of the fund.
* Old Mutual. The Max Investments endowment range offers a choice of core funds managed by Old Mutual Investment Group South Africa as well as funds of external managers. Max Investments product manager Jaco Gouws suggests the Flexible Plan, which does not tie you into a contract. For tax purposes, you can choose the Life Pure Investment Wrapper (you’re taxed at 30 percent by Old Mutual) or the Linked Investment Service Provider Wrapper (you're taxed at your individual rate when you sell your investment, and may even be tax-exempt).
Gouws says the RIY over five years is 4.79 percent, but this would reduce to 3.71 percent over 10 years. For Old Mutual’s Smoothed Performance Fund, the bonuses (returns) over the five years to the end of 2010 varied between five percent (2008) and 25 percent (2006), these figures being net of investment charges and tax.
* Sanlam. The Stratus Endowment offers a selection of Sanlam and external funds, and Sanlam publishes daily reports of fund performance. Some of the lower-risk funds have a guarantee option. Or you could invest in the Vesting Bonus Fund, in which returns are smoothed (the RIY in this case would be 4.8 percent). Bonuses on the fund over the five years to the end of 2010 varied between 3.1 percent (2009) and 20.4 percent (2006). After five years you receive a loyalty bonus calculated as a percentage of accumulated costs.
* Allan Gray. Under this endowment policy, you can choose from a wide selection of Allan Gray and external unit trust funds. Apart from the fund management fee, which varies from fund to fund, Allan Gray charges a maximum annual administration fee of 0.5 percent of assets, which is reduced to the extent that it receives any discount from a fund. There is no net administration fee for Allan Gray funds. Returns are taxed at 30 percent in the hands of Allan Gray.
* Coronation. Coronation offers an endowment plan with growth taxed at 30 percent. You may select from a focused range of Coronation unit trust funds, and switching between them incurs no costs. You pay only the annual fund management fee, which varies from fund to fund; the platform administration fee is “fully subsidised” by the company.
* Oasis. Oasis’s new endowment policies invest in a high-equity portfolio (with a benchmark of CPI plus three or four percent) or a progressive portfolio (CPI plus one or two percent). Fees, apart from an adviser’s fee (up to three percent), are an annual 0.4-percent administration fee and a fund management fee of one to three percent based on performance. Returns are taxed at 30 percent in the hands of Oasis.
WHAT THREE TOP FINANCIAL ADVISERS RECOMMEND
A senior investment broker at a major investment bank is known to have scoffed at someone asking for advice on how to invest R500 a month, suggesting he spend the money instead.
The response was almost certainly tongue-in-cheek, but what message does it send to someone who may not be a big earner but who has the desire to save?
Natasja Norval Hart of Sasfin Financial Advisory Services in Pretoria has a Certified Financial Planner (CFP) accreditation and last year won the Financial Planner of the Year award. Norval Hart says that saving even a relatively small amount is at least a start.
“Remember, it is the cents that make the rands. So by reviewing your budget and rather saving R500 a month than letting it disappear into your monthly living costs, you are creating a habit of saving. We live in a society of instant gratification, and one of the biggest challenges is to show the benefits of saving and giving up on some luxuries now to have more options later. By starting to save, putting R500 a month away, you can ensure that you are changing your financial destiny,” Norval Hart says.
Alec Riddle of Consolidated Financial Planning in Port Elizabeth, a CFP who won the Financial Planner of the Year for 2009, says it’s important to take that first step.
“Just setting a goal to save or invest and accomplishing that is in itself an achievement. Achievement is, of course, the first step to self-improvement, and success breeds success,” he says. “It is also important that you understand the various asset classes and the benefits of diversification and time, plus the magic of compound interest.”
Riddle says although paying off debt should be a priority, sometimes, if clients have the means, he might suggest alternatives.
“I would suggest extra funds be directed to the bond, but at least a portion thereof be directed to a smaller discretionary investment, so that they learn about investments with a small amount. This way, they are more likely to invest appropriately when their bond is paid up, or when their provident fund becomes available,” Riddle says.
The advisers generally feel that you need to keep an eye on your overall financial plan, even with a relatively low discretionary amount of R500 a month, not least because you could be saving on tax if you put the money into a retirement annuity or, under certain conditions, into an endowment policy.
Norval Hart says: “People in the top tax bracket often use endowment policies to minimise their tax, because with an endowment you don’t declare any income or gains to the South African Revenue Service (SARS); the life company does that and pays 30 percent tax on your behalf.
“However, if your interest exemption has not been fully utilised, it may make sense to rather use a unit trust vehicle. With a unit trust, your income and capital gains are taxed in your own hands. This means that you have to declare any share dividends and interest that you earned in the unit trust during the tax year. The unit trust company sends you a certificate with the figures that you will need to complete your SARS tax return.”
One of the biggest advantages of unit trusts is their flexibility. Norval Hart says: “Liquidity is one of the major factors to consider when investing (the other two being tax and costs). With an endowment, there is a minimum investment of five years. With a unit trust, you have access to the market value of your portfolio within a few days.”
Riddle adds: “Your investment needs to be flexible, enabling you to change the amount invested or even cash in your investment, without excessive penalties, should your circumstances change. Far too many investors in the older type endowments and retirement annuities have been ‘burnt’ with excessive penalties if they have needed to change their investments.”
Riddle says he would advocate a unit trust with exposure to a variety of asset classes (for example, a prudential asset allocation or “balanced” fund), as long as it is cost-effective. “The reasons for this recommendation would be to ensure inflation-beating returns while helping you better understand the investment market.
“However, if you are a DIY investor and purely looking at a five- to 10-year time horizon, with no guidance from a financial planner, then I would encourage you to look into the possibility of investing in one of the exchange traded funds, such as a Satrix fund. A word of caution, though, if the fund is 100-percent equity-based: the markets can be very volatile.”
Ian Beere, a CFP at Netto Financial Services in Cape Town, who won the Financial Planner of the Year award in 2007, recommends a diversified investment. He suggests you invest in a portfolio that includes more than one asset class (the major asset classes are shares, property, bonds, cash and offshore assets).
Beere says: “Shares are the key driver of higher long-term returns but can also be the most risky. Thus an investment with a greater exposure to shares will have the greatest return over time, but will experience more ups and downs than an investment with a small exposure to shares.
“Cautious investors will likely elect to invest in cash with no chance of losing money but would have to accept a lower return over time, meaning they may not achieve their goal. Care-free investors will likely invest in an investment comprising mostly shares. While this would yield the best return in the long run, they may lose money if they draw it out at the wrong time.
“Therefore, we advise against investing money based on personality but based on what you need to achieve over the time you have, taking your circumstances into account. The above two investors would therefore not necessarily end up investing in different investments if we were advising them,” Beere says.
Norval Hart says you must always be mindful of costs, but by investing in a moderate-risk balanced fund, you avoid “putting all your eggs in one basket”.
She says: “Balanced funds tend to have a diversified blend of asset classes. Since one is only invested for a five-year term, this is more reason to avoid investments with high equity – if the market does take a dip, the fund might not have sufficient time to recover.”
And what investments should you avoid?
“First and foremost,” Beere says, “avoid any investment that is not regulated by the Financial Services Board. Countless investors have lost money to unregulated schemes after being attracted by the ‘too good to be true’ returns.
“Another product to avoid is one where there is no flexibility for a change in circumstances. An investment policy with a long contract term that imposes hefty penalties for withdrawing early would be a good example. You also want to avoid using the right product in the wrong place. For example, a retirement annuity is not a good way to save for a new car.
“Finally, remember that the investment strategy decision is separate from the product decision.”
Looking at how your R500 a month fits into the bigger scheme of things, Beere says it’s best to talk to an independent adviser.
“Engage with a professional and get advice and a financial plan in place,” he recommends.
This article was first published in the third-quarter 2011 edition of Personal Finance magazine